{"id":402,"date":"2012-01-20T13:24:00","date_gmt":"2012-01-20T21:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/?p=402"},"modified":"2020-07-08T19:03:56","modified_gmt":"2020-07-09T02:03:56","slug":"the-belichick-inverse-likability-theorem-part-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/2012\/01\/20\/the-belichick-inverse-likability-theorem-part-1\/","title":{"rendered":"The Belichick Inverse Likability Theorem, Part 1"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>By Jeffrey Carl <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/JeffPaulBTBNL.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-370\" width=\"246\" height=\"243\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/JeffPaulBTBNL.png 500w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/JeffPaulBTBNL-300x296.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 246px) 100vw, 246px\" \/><figcaption>Bloggers To Be Named Later, January 20 2012<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background has-light-gray-background-color\"><em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloggerstobenamedlater.com\">Bloggers To Be Named Later<\/a> was Paul Caputo&#8217;s fabulous sports-blogging empire of the mid-2010s. My role in the enterprise was to promise to write humor articles and then not do that, or at least not remotely on time. Ultimately, after a flirtation with viral Internets fame, the site basically turned into an excuse for Paul to get free baseball tickets, which is actually about the only good reason to run a blog of any sort. After the BTBNL site wound down, I realized that I hadn&#8217;t kept local copies of most of the stories I had written, so I ended up scouring through <a href=\"http:\/\/www.archive.org\">The Internet Archive<\/a> to find as many as I could in order to prevent a tragic loss to the world&#8217;s cultural canon of blog posts complaining about the Seattle Mariners. You&#8217;re welcome. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/bill-belichick.jpg\" alt=\"Bill Belichick\" class=\"wp-image-404\" width=\"303\" height=\"211\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/bill-belichick.jpg 409w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/bill-belichick-300x209.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 303px) 100vw, 303px\" \/><figcaption>Pretending to make human smile DOES NOT COMPUTE<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Statistics are essential to modern sports. Football coaches have situational analysis tables to help them justify \u201cpunt it on 4th&nbsp;and inches\u201d calls more frequently. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Baseball has \u201csabermetrics,\u201d which is an intricate mathematical system for determining results that is calculated by nerdy people who don\u2019t have a big enough group of friends to play \u201cDungeons &amp; Dragons\u201d with. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Worldwide, soccer has all sorts of crazy crap that they do in metric units like \u201cKiloBeckhams\u201d or \u201cInjury Time per Hectare.\u201d<a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloggerstobenamedlater.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/beckham2.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignleft size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/beckham2.jpg\" alt=\"David Beckham\" class=\"wp-image-403\" width=\"109\" height=\"148\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/beckham2.jpg 298w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/beckham2-221x300.jpg 221w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 109px) 100vw, 109px\" \/><figcaption>1 GigaBeckham (938 Imperial MegaBeckhams)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet the NFL has always lacked a true benchmark statistic (like WAR in baseball or Remaining Teeth divided by Penalty Minutes in hockey) that can accurately predict a team\u2019s future success. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That is why we are proud to introduce a solid, mathematically proven theory that finally takes the guesswork out of NFL success. The&nbsp;<em>Belichick Inverse Likability Theorem<\/em>&nbsp;simply states:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"792\" height=\"90\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Belichick-Theorem.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-411\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Not convinced? We\u2019ll prove this theorem by examining prominent NFL coaches and their unlikability.&nbsp;Let\u2019s start by looking at the 2011 NFL postseason conference championship coaches:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Tom Coughlin, New York Giants<\/strong>: Famous for doing things like fining players for not being five minutes early to meetings; losing the confidence of his locker room; and looking like&nbsp;<em>The Simpsons\u2019<\/em>&nbsp;Mr. Burns except less healthy.<\/li><li><strong>Jim Harbaugh, San Francisco 49ers<\/strong>: Got into a fight with Pete Carroll onfield when he was with Stanford. Got into a fight with Lions coach Jim Schwartz onfield when he was with the Niners. Got into a fight with a crippled nun onfield when she asked for his autograph.<\/li><li><strong>Bill Belichick, New England Patriots<\/strong>: Each year, sends Christmas cards to every single reporter covering the NFL that just say \u201cF**k You.\u201d Writes bad checks for Girl Scout Cookies and then poops on the Girl Scouts\u2019 lawns when asked to return them. Once shot a man in Reno just to watch him die.<\/li><li><strong>John Harbaugh, Baltimore Ravens<\/strong>: He actually seems like a pretty decent guy, but he gets a gratuitous +.100 unlikability added for coaching in Baltimore, and +.200 for being Jim Harbaugh\u2019s brother.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Now let\u2019s see where the four remaining playoff coaches stand according to the theorem:<a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloggerstobenamedlater.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/Schnell-Charts1.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"800\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts.jpg\" alt=\"NFL Coaches\" class=\"wp-image-407\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts-768x768.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><figcaption>Actual math involved<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/math.jpg\" alt=\"Math is hard\" class=\"wp-image-405\" width=\"201\" height=\"213\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/math.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/math-283x300.jpg 283w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 201px) 100vw, 201px\" \/><figcaption>Math is hard, and also hard to draw<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The theorem is derived from the inverse of a well-known sports mathematical axiom, Sir Leo Durocher\u2019s proof that \u201cnice guys finish last.\u201d It\u2019s that simple \u2013&nbsp;<strong>the bigger an obvious d-bag your team\u2019s coach is, the better their record will be<\/strong>&nbsp;within a certain margin of error. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is&nbsp;<em>actual math<\/em>, people! I can say this with absolute certainty since nobody\u2019s going to bother with checking my calculations because math is boring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But you may be saying, \u201cbut how does this theorem hold true for coaches outside the final four NFL playoff teams?\u201d Okay, let\u2019s flesh this out with some other carefully chosen examples based on the coach\u2019s general likability as a person:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"800\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts2.jpg\" alt=\"NFL Coaches\" class=\"wp-image-408\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts2.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts2-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts2-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Schnell-Charts2-768x768.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><figcaption>Spookily accurate once you insert modifiers to fit the theory<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>At this point, some of you may be saying, \u201cwhy do Steve Spagnuolo and Tony Sparano get such high ratings for being likable?\u201d Well, \u201cTony Sparano\u201d sounds a&nbsp;<em>lot<\/em>&nbsp;like \u201cTony Soprano,\u201d and saying bad things about him always seemed to get people killed. And the Rams performed so poorly in 2011 largely because Steve Spagnuolo was always being called away for missions as part of the SEAL Team Six that killed Osama bin Laden.&nbsp;<em>But he couldn\u2019t tell anyone about it or he would have had to kill them.<\/em>&nbsp;True fact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignleft size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/navyseals.jpg\" alt=\"Navy SEALs\" class=\"wp-image-406\" width=\"256\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/navyseals.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/navyseals-300x235.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 256px) 100vw, 256px\" \/><figcaption>Spagnuolo is 3rd from left, next to Chuck Norris<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>In summary, the&nbsp;<em>Belichick Inverse Likability Theorem<\/em>&nbsp;provides us with the definitive mathematical formula for determining NFL team success or failure, replacing such irrational and illogical methods as astrology, or listening to Trent Dilfer. Next week we will apply the theorem to historical coaches to demonstrate further just how right I am.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I am not sure whether the NFL is technically qualified to just hand out Nobel Prizes for Awesome Math-Based Stuff, but I\u2019m pretty sure they are, and if so I expect one.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Jeffrey Carl Bloggers To Be Named Later was Paul Caputo&#8217;s fabulous sports-blogging empire of the mid-2010s. My role in the enterprise was to promise to write humor articles and then not do that, or at least not remotely on time. Ultimately, after a flirtation with viral Internets fame, the site basically turned into an &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/2012\/01\/20\/the-belichick-inverse-likability-theorem-part-1\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The Belichick Inverse Likability Theorem, Part 1<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,62],"tags":[51,52,22,46,40],"class_list":["post-402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloggers-to-be-named-later","category-humor","tag-belichick","tag-patriots","tag-paul-caputo","tag-seahawks","tag-sports"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=402"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/402\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":414,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/402\/revisions\/414"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jeffcarl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}